California vs Washington State 11/6/2010

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California is a heavy favorite winning 83% of simulations over Washington State. Kevin Riley is averaging 241 passing yards and 2.27 TDs per simulation and Shane Vereen is projected for 115 rushing yards and a 78% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 17% of simulations where Washington State wins, Jeff Tuel averages 2.05 TD passes vs 0.72 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1 TDs to 0.96 interceptions. James Montgomery averages 52 rushing yards and 0.63 rushing TDs when Washington State wins and 44 yards and 0.27 TDs in losses. California has a 50% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WASST +14.5

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